At an International Franchising Symposium in
London, Peter Holt made the bold statement to his audience of
Franchisors that they needed to understand that their business would
fail, and in fact all businesses are bound for failure. Needless to
say, there were a few shocked faces in the crowd. He was making the
point that it really is just a matter of the number of calendar flips
before time strangles any business. It’s a hard point to argue when you
think that the Neanderthal Fortune 100 included Barney’s Dinosaur
Obedience School. Not a lot of money in that these days.
Evolutionary change would seem to indicate that we
should all prepare for failure. Of course, if we do an extremely good
job, perhaps our grandchildren’s grandchildren have the problem, and we
can rest easy in the hammock for now. In a much more practical view of
the calendars we get to flip ourselves, we should think about creating
a successful Franchise business, maximizing the value, and realizing
the optimum return with an appropriate exit strategy.
The folly often lies in not considering this part
of the equation at the very time that you are considering entry into
the Franchise in the first place. That’s exactly the time when you need
to give significant consideration to the value of the asset that can be
created. Ongoing profitability, cashflow, and emotional fulfillment,
are all important criteria in the process of making an informed
business decision about becoming a Franchisee. But then so is the
growth of the asset value you create, along with the ease of realizing
that value at the time you intend to exit.
Snagglepuss always knew it was ‘exit, stage left’,
but that is not always so clear in the operation of a Franchised
business. What is clear is that some dedicated thought needs to be
applied at the time of entry so that appropriate strategic planning is
put in play. Let’s consider a simple example to illustrate the
importance of this consideration where you can increase the value of
the business by $200,000 in five years, and there is a ready and
willing market for the business at the end of that time. A
straight-line application of the value increase, without considering
the time value of money, would indicate that the real average annual
earnings would be $40,000 over and above the net income of the
business.
That should tell you that a business that earns
$80,000 per year in profit might actually be a better investment than a
business that makes $100,000 per year, if the latter has significantly
less realizable value at the time of exit. If the plan is succession to
family members, then again, the value of the asset to be transferred is
of paramount importance, and not just the annual income.
Of course the timing of exit or liquidation will
carry significant weight, and it’s not always in our control.
Gilligan’s partnership share of Skipper’s Cruise Lines would have been
much more valuable before he met Thurston and Lovey. That would
indicate that we shouldn’t put the hen’s product all in one wicker
carry case. The consideration should include both ongoing
profitability, as well as ultimate asset value at the planned time of
exit.
The value of planning can’t be overstated. The
Allies didn’t just decide to go for a boat ride across the English
Channel to Normandy one sunny afternoon. The Miami Dolphins didn’t win
three Super Bowls in a row in the 1970’s because they won the coin
toss. They even withstood the infamous Garo Ypremian foibles, because
their plan was tight and well executed.
It certainly makes sense that a tight, and well
executed, business plan would include both the profitability of the
venture, and also the ultimate cash value at the end of the rainbow.
The Franchisor should be able to provide you with pertinent information
about asset growth, and the factors that will affect transition. If
they are unwilling to discuss the matter, the solution is simple – run!
All good Franchisors should be looking for
Franchisees that wish to maximize the value of their business with a
well laid out plan. That will only enhance the value of the Franchise
system as a whole, which increases value for each individual
stakeholder. For the Franchisee, it really should be a significant
attraction to become involved in the business in the first place.
The 21st century businessperson is the spawn of
corporate hijinks and technological advancements in today’s global
marketplace. What mattered in the past is not important now, including
individual employees, whole departments, and entire processes. The new
entrepreneur needs to control their own destiny, and will not place
their fate in the hands of others. They will not risk Mr. Dithers
handing them a pink slip. They believe that assessable risk is required
to earn financial freedom. They also understand that the proper
equation to assess risk includes both current profitability plus
long-term asset creation.
Of course, there must also be emotional attachment
to the business at hand in order to optimize value. If the plan is to
grow the business to maximize value, and there is emotional commitment
to that plan, the results can be dramatic. How important is emotional
attachment? I’ve stayed in hundreds and hundreds of hotels, and yet
I’ve never seen anyone clean the toilet in their room. There’s simply
no emotional attachment to the asset. I’ve never seen anyone wash their
rental car either. Nurturing, prodding, improving, adjusting, and
building, all take commitment in order to be the creator of the
ultimate value.
Like a baboon picking fleas, each business
opportunity has to be examined carefully. The asset value of some
service-based businesses will often hold value, and in fact increase in
redeemable value as each new client is added to the business. The exit
strategy of a retail location should include an assessment of the
initial investment required, real estate values, competition, and
demographic factors. The history of increases in Franchise Fees should
also be considered to predict future minimum transfer value.
I experienced a good case in point about Franchise
Fees. In 1972, a good friend and I decided that March break was best
spent at Daytona Beach, as all good first-year college students
conclude. We found this new restaurant there that had line-ups around
the block - literally. It was called McDonalds. When we returned to
campus, we went to the library to do some research because we were told
that McDonalds might entertain building one more restaurant for the
right person. The cost at the time was $25,000. If we could have
figured out how to raise the money, we would have become partners in a
McDonalds Franchise, and my bet is we would have at least doubled our
money.
Portability of transfer, able & willing
marketplace, skills & training required for entry into the
business, and predicted brand value at the time of anticipated transfer
are all part of the equation. Flexibility of the Franchisor to address
new market opportunities will create new markets for the Franchise. In
addition, expansion plans of the Franchisor need consideration. Static
doesn’t cut it. A plan to continue to bring in new and vibrant
Franchisees well into the future will increase brand value, and nurture
the market for the product or service of the Franchise system.
O.K., I didn’t say it would be easy to assess.
There’s a lot to think about. What I am saying is that it would be
foolish to avoid the issue. The timing of exit may be 10 years down the
road, or 15, or even 25, but at the very least, it should be considered
as a part of a long-term strategic plan. Daniel Hudson Burnham said
“Make no little plans; they have no magic to stir men’s blood.” So
plan. Plan to profit. Plan to nurture and build. And plan to exit.
The factors listed above must be assessed and
ranked in order of importance before understanding the true value of
the anticipated business venture. The maintenance and growth of asset
value, as well as portability on transfer will ultimately determine the
real return on investment.
Even though Barney was on the bleeding edge when
he invented the dinosaur biscuit to reinforce good behavior, his target
market ultimately went with the cats and dogs option. Of course, there
wasn’t a big market for VoIP and Blogs in that digitally deprived age,
when zeros and ones referred to the near death experiences of that
particular day. Oh yeah, and it wasn’t that long ago, when McDonald was
an old farmer.
The real message is that Barney should have had a
plan to find a buyer before Rin Tin Tin and Sylvester showed up on his
neighbor’s doorstep.
About The Author
Dennis Schooley is the Founder of Schooley
Mitchell Telecom Consultants, a Professional Services Franchise
Company. He writes for publication, as well as for
schooleymitchell.blogging,com and franchises.blogging.com,
in the subject areas of Franchising, and Technology for the Layman. http://www.schooleymitchell.com,
888-311-6477, dschooley@schooleymitchell.com.